Diary of a CEO guest: the 70% AI warning from an ex OpenAI forecaster
Diary Of A CEO's latest episode features Daniel Kokotajlo, a former OpenAI researcher and lead author of the AI 2027 forecast, warning that it's possible AI ends up creating a new species that rules the world.
Transcript
it's possible that we'll end up essentially creating a new species that ends up ruling the world.
Kokotajlo says there's a seventy percent chance things go horribly wrong, like extinction, but calls that one of several possibilities, not a prediction.
He says he resigned from OpenAI in twenty twenty four, forfeiting two million dollars rather than sign a clause forbidding him from criticizing the company.
He says insiders at Anthropic and OpenAI urge him to shorten his timelines toward twenty twenty seven, the year his forecast is named for.
Still, he says he does not think we're definitely doomed, seeing off ramps, like governments waking up or companies choosing to slow the race.
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Sources
Every claim in this video comes from the top ranking coverage of this topic. The claims and where each one came from:
- The episode itself, which carries Kokotajlo's claims about AI risk timelines, the seventy percent estimate and its precise context, his OpenAI resignation and the non-disparagement clause he refused, his authorship of AI 2027, and his stated rays of hope.(He Risked Everything To Warn You: No One Is Ready For What's Coming, And The AI Companies Know It!)